Hurricane season forecast: where to watch the storms unfold

On Thursday 22 June in Panama City, ANMA selects the next Atlantic hurricane season. From 22 June-23 September the season will be active with no significant storms or slow-forming tropical cyclones allowed to develop….

Hurricane season forecast: where to watch the storms unfold

On Thursday 22 June in Panama City, ANMA selects the next Atlantic hurricane season. From 22 June-23 September the season will be active with no significant storms or slow-forming tropical cyclones allowed to develop.

Seasons; length; month; national boundary or region; period from; season forecast; and hurricane name

2 July Tropical Atlantic begins to warm. 2 August The GFS forecast predicts a 90% chance of above-normal tropical Atlantic and Caribbean tropical cyclone activity. 3 September The GFS long-range forecast shows a high probability of above-normal activity due to an El Nino. 4 September The start of the Atlantic hurricane season. This year’s hurricane season begins 2 July: Tropical Southern Oscillation ENSO activity is widespread, providing storm development potential. Anticipated action: Tropical Storm Bonnie 7 August: Wind shear boosts activity, raising the risk of organized storms. 1 Sept: Monsoon winds intensify as the season’s first tropical depression. 2 Sept: A tropical depression forms as storm makes landfall on Florida. 2 Sept: Tropical Storm Gordon forms in the Gulf of Mexico. 3 Sept: 11 tropical storms form in the Atlantic. 4 Sept: Ryan forms over the central Atlantic Ocean. 5 Sept: Dwayne forms in the central Atlantic Ocean. 6 Sept: A large storm system develops out of the eastern Atlantic. 7 Sept: Tropical Storm Karen forms in the central Atlantic Ocean. 8 Sept: Hurricane Alex forms about 930 miles west-southwest of Cape Race Newfoundland, Canada. 9 Sept: Tanya forms in the eastern Atlantic Ocean. 10 Sept: Tropical Storm Ana forms in the central Atlantic Ocean. 11 Sept: Maria forms in the east Atlantic Ocean. 12 Sept: Tropical Storm Irma forms in the east Atlantic Ocean. 13 Sept: Hurricane Flossie forms in the central Atlantic Ocean. 14 Sept: Hurricane Maria forms in the eastern Atlantic Ocean. 15 Sept: Hurricane Jose forms in the east Atlantic Ocean. 15 Sept: Hurricane Katia forms in the Eastern Pacific Ocean. 16 Sept: Hurricane Joaquin forms in the central Atlantic Ocean. 17 Sept: Hurricane Odile forms in the eastern Pacific Ocean. 18 Sept: Hurricane Dagny forms in the central Atlantic Ocean. 19 Sept: Hurricane Hermine forms in the eastern Pacific Ocean. 20 Sept: Hurricane Ondine forms in the eastern Pacific Ocean. 21 Sept: Hurricane Otto forms in the central Atlantic Ocean. 22 Sept: Hurricane Katia forms in the eastern Atlantic Ocean. 23 Sept: Hurricane Joaquin strengthens in the central Atlantic Ocean. 3 Oct: Hurricane Joaquin moves toward Bermuda. 4 Oct: Hurricane Joaquin moves away from Bermuda. 4 Oct: Hurricane Joaquin weakens, the chance of hurricane intensity grows. 9 Oct: Hurricane Joaquin is classified as a category one hurricane. 10 Oct: Hurricane Joaquin leaves the Caribbean and heads for Cuba. 11 Oct: Hurricane Joaquin forms over the Bahamas. 12 Oct: Hurricane Joaquin strengthens, the chance of hurricane intensity growth diminishes. 13 Oct: Hurricane Joaquin continues to intensify. 14 Oct: Hurricane Joaquin becomes the first hurricane of the season and first of the Joaquin family. 15 Oct: Hurricane Joaquin forms in the open Atlantic and makes landfall near Florida’s southern coast. 16 Oct: Hurricane Joaquin strengthens in the open Atlantic. 17 Oct: Hurricane Joaquin passes over the central Atlantic Ocean. 18 Oct: Hurricane Joaquin strengthens in the open Atlantic Ocean. 19 Oct: Hurricane Joaquin strengthens in the open Atlantic Ocean. 20 Oct: Hurricane Joaquin moves towards Bermuda. 3 Nov: Hurricane Joaquin begins to weaken as it moves northward toward the North Atlantic. 4 Nov: Hurricane Joaquin nears Bermuda. 5 Nov: Hurricane Joaquin forms between Bermuda and the coast of Canada. 6 Nov: Hurricane Joaquin is classified as a category four hurricane, at that stage it is moving west-northwest. 7 Nov: Hurricane Joaquin slows its movement as it tracks west-northwestward and approaches the east coast of Florida. 8 Nov: Hurricane Joaquin makes landfall near Florida’s southern coast as a category four hurricane. 9 Nov: Hurricane Joaquin skirts southern Bahamas as a category three hurricane. 10 Nov: Hurricane Joaquin makes landfall over the central Bahamas as a category four hurricane. 11 Nov: Hurricane Joaquin moves over the eastern and southern Bahamas. 12 Nov: Hurricane Joaquin passes over the central Atlantic Ocean. 13 Nov: Hurricane Joaquin passes over the southern Bahamas. 14 Nov: Hurricane Joaquin continues moving northeastward off the north coast of Africa. 15 Nov: Hurricane Joaquin is a category one hurricane. 16 Nov: Hurricane Joaquin moves away from the Bahamas.

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